Mike Rogers Says Early Ballot Modeling Shows Stronger Republican Returns in Michigan
Mike Rogers says early ballot modeling in Michigan shows Republicans returning ballots at a better rate than Democrats. “That’s a really good sign for us,” he told Newsmax, noting about 1M already cast in a race expected to hit 4.5M.
Tommy Flynn
Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers said Saturday that modeling of early ballot returns in Michigan shows Republicans returning ballots at a better rate than Democrats, which he called a positive indicator for his campaign ahead of the November 3 midterm elections.
Rogers spoke on Newsmax’s “Saturday Report” as Michigan’s early in-person voting period was underway, running through November 1. “It looks like record turnout in many places. So we’re a little bit below where we were in 2022,” he said. “But here’s the good news. The turnout that is there by modeling has Republicans returning their ballots at a better rate than Democrats, which is very important for us because we tend to do better closer to Election Day.”
Rogers noted that Republican voters generally prefer to cast ballots in person on or near Election Day. When likely Republicans return ballots early, “that’s a really good sign for us,” he said. He stated that roughly one million voters had already cast ballots in a race expected to draw about 4.5 million total participants.
Michigan does not register voters by party, so any partisan breakdown of early ballots relies on modeling rather than official registration data. State figures released earlier in the week showed 789,572 Michigan voters had cast ballots as of October 20, representing 10.7 percent of active registered voters. Mail ballot returns at that point were running slightly ahead of the comparable period before the 2022 election, and ballot requests had risen from about 1.81 million to more than 2.12 million.
Rogers is the Republican nominee for the open U.S. Senate seat being vacated by retiring Democratic Sen. Gary Peters. He faces Democrat Abdul El-Sayed. In a separate appearance the day before, Rogers said his campaign had knocked on 7 million doors since the previous year, a figure he said had not been reached before in Michigan. He has described the effort as focused on turning out the Republican base and attracting support from some Democratic voters.
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